| Overall | 7W 8L 2T |
| District | 4W 3L 1T |
| Expected | 9: 3+ 5- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
6 5 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
1371 241 Strength Momentum |
1299 58.3(15) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25/15 | at Valley | 1076 | +3 | --- | 79% |  | ||
| 08/27/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.004 | 1399 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-4) | 1193 | 44% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Highland | 0.004 | 845 | W 4- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1319 | 93% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Sandia ? | 0.012 | 1114 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-3) | 1202 | 77% | |
| 09/03/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.016 | 1338 | L 2- 4 | Worse (-2) | 1264 | 51% | |
| 09/08/15 | Eldorado ?? | 0.031 | 1070 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-5) | 1111 | 83% | |
| 09/12/15 | at St. Pius | 0.062 | 1010 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-3) | 1200 | 85% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.085 | 1338 | L 2- 4 | Worse (-2) | 1264 | 51% | |
| 09/18/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.125 | 1261 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 1375 | 61% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Mayfield | 0.110 | 1051 | W 4- 1 | Expected (0) | 1371 | 81% | |
| 09/23/15 | Cibola !! | 0.218 | 1414 | W 3- 2 | Better (+1) | 1433 | 47% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.207 | 1418 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-3) | 1203 | 42% | |
| 09/30/15 | Cleveland ! | 0.400 | 1414 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 1433 | 47% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.435 | 1162 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1376 | 72% | |
| 10/10/15 | at Cibola | 0.685 | 1414 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1302 | 42% | |
| 10/14/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.816 | 1418 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1335 | 47% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Cleveland | 0.923 | 1414 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 1402 | 43% | |
| 10/21/15 | Santa Fe | 0.823 | 1162 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1407 | 76% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Volcano Vista actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1299, while
Volcano Vista's "weighted playing strength" is 1362
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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